Monday, January 14, 2008

The JvL Bi-Weekly for 011508

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Tuesday, January 15th, 2008

Volume 7, No. 1

1 Article, 26 pages

George Bush 1 and 2 & Bill Clinton and The American Government's Egregious Policies Related to Iraq and Iran

GEORGE BUSH 1 AND 2 & BILL CLINTON: THE AMERICAN GOVERNMENT'S EGREGIOUS POLICIES RELATED TO IRAQ AND IRAN

BY

SCOTT RITTER

I wish I were writing about how good things are happening in the cause of peace, how congress has reversed course and theyre bringing our boys and girls home, how the Bush administration has woke up suddenly and said, you know, this concept of global domination through the unilateral application of military force is not sound policy, and the Democrats woke up for the first time in a long time and said, you know, we facilitated this war in Iraq. Were as much to blame as George W. Bush. But thats not the case. We live in a time where bad things are happening.

The fact is we live in very sad times, and, if you reflect long and hard on the reality of the issue, as Im sure everyone agrees that these are not just sad times but depressing times. Im not going to say much thats going to give one hope because theres not much to be hopeful about.

We are in a war that shows no inclination of ever ending. Yes, theres a lot of rhetoric in congress now about lets create new benchmarks that need to be fulfilled in Iraq so that we can have a time table of bringing the troops home. But thats just political rhetoric because the benchmarks they talk about putting in place are unrealistic. Therefore, there will never be a time line.

And lets keep in mind that this is a congress that voted for the war, Republican and Democrat alike, and they are trapped by that vote to the extent that they cannot meaningfully interfere with the Bush administrations plans on Iraq, and the plans of the Bush administration regarding Iraq was most recently articulated by Condoleezza Rice, the Secretary of State, when she told the congress of the United States that we will be in Iraq for at least ten years.

All right, this is the reality. See, I told you that it wasnt going to be very uplifting. This is the reality, and we have to deal with the reality, because if we dont deal with the reality, if we dont have a true grasp of what is happening as we speak, there cannot be a solution. Now one of the things that they pounded in my head early on when I joined the Marine Corps was that, before we talk about solving a problem, Lieutenant (because every Lieutenant has a solution to every problem in the world. We were the smartest people on the face of the Earth. Im sure you see that. High school teachers see that with every new student that comes in. Theyre the smartest, the brightest. They have the answer to everything. ) But the answer to what? What problem are we solving?

Dont talk to me about a solution until youve defined the problem, and right now, In Washington, D.C. and right across the country, weve got a whole host of people now that suddenly are anti-war. Its amazing how many anti-war people have come out of the woodwork now that President Bushs popularity ratings have plummeted down to an all-time low. Where were these people of courage when we needed them? Where were they when they could have made a difference, when they could have stopped the war? Well, they werent anti-war back then because it wasnt convenient to be anti-war. You see, the President had high popularity ratings.

People were trapped by their own ignorance and the fear that is induced by ignorance so that they could not stand up and speak truth to power because, frankly speaking, most people didnt know what the truth was. We were told that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction, massive stockpiles of weapons of mass destruction, and, to be honest, most Americans didnt have a clue what a weapon of mass destruction was. They didnt know what chemical weapons were, biological weapons were, long-range ballistic missiles. They might have a vague understanding of what a nuclear weapon is, but not really, not what it takes to build a nuclear weapon. They were so ignorant about nuclear weapons that they bought into the argument that Iraq, a nation that is sitting on many tons of yellow-cake uranium ore, would have to go to an African country to buy new stockpiles. They were so ignorant about nuclear weapons that they bought at face value Dick Cheneys proclamation that Iraq was acquiring aluminum tubes to build a new family of centrifuges to enrich uranium when everybody who deals with the enrichment of uranium using the centrifuge method knows that aluminum tubes will never work. We dont build them with aluminum tubes. It doesnt happen.

But, no, the American people, informed as always about the complexities of these very difficult issues, said my gosh, the President has said yellow cake, and Dick Cheney has said aluminum tubes, and there must be a nuclear threat because Condoleezza Rice has told us we dont want to wait for the smoking gun to become a mushroom cloud. So like the compliant little sheep that we are, we *bah, bah* get led down the path towards a war that has been a disaster, an unmitigated disaster, a war based on a lie, a war based on not just the ignorance of the American public but the moral indifference of those whom we elect to higher office to represent us in our name, namely the Congress of the United States of America.

A lot of people want to call this George W. Bushs war. Its a little convenient to say that, especially if you are a Democrat or somebody who is not very fond of the Republican Party, either a progressive, a Green, etc. Its George W. Bushs war. Well, you know, if thats what youve been calling it, youre wrong, and, remember, were looking for a solution here. Were trying to find the way forward. I already said theres not going to be a solution until youre honest about the problem, and, if you call this George W. Bushs war, you already have a problem of definition because this isnt George W. Bushs war. This is Americas war. This is Bill Clintons war. This is the Congress of the United States war. This is an indifferent American publics war. This is our war. Were to blame. Were responsible. Were the ones that facilitated this mad rush to insanity that has occurred in Iraq today.

In defense of Bill Clinton, and I dont often speak in defense of Bill Clinton, but, in defense of Bill Clinton, he inherited a problem. You see, the Iraq problem wasnt something that Bill Clinton made up. When he came into office in 1993, we already had an Iraq policy in place, the Iraq policy of George Herbert Walker Bush, Papa Bush. You know, the big Bush as opposed to the Shrub. And Papa Bush had a policy that, in itself, was a reactive policy on Iraq. See, this is one of the problems that we face, not just in terms of foreign policy, but Ill tell you its a problem we face as an anti-war movement, and I call myself part of the anti-war movement even though Im not a pacifist. Im anti-war, and Ive been to war. I know what war is about. War is the most horrible thing mankind can inflict on mankind because war is only about man killing man. Theres nothing else. Thats what it does. What happens when you go to war? Im anti-war, and here we are reacting.

Wheres the proactive thought in the peace movement? Were reacting. Bush does this; lets have a demonstration against what Bush does. Congress does this; lets have a demonstration against what congress does. Well, what the hell do we stand for? I know what were against, but what do we stand for? Wheres our proactive policy? But this isnt just a problem of the peace movement. Its a problem of the United States. This is how we got into Iraq to begin with, because were reacting. Were not proactive.

When we first started with Saddam Husseins government, he was a terrorist sponsor. He was a client of the Soviet Union. He was an enemy of the United States of America. This was in the 1970s. He was somebody who gave safe haven to the Peoples Liberation Organization of the Palestinians, and then, in 1979, the good ally of America, the Shah suddenly isnt in power in Iran, Iraqs neighbor, anymore. Someone named Ayatollah Khomeini takes over, and Iran, instead of being a bastion of western-style, American thinking and defense against the Soviet Union, becomes this festering cesspool of anti-American sentiment, and Iraq, which was a state sponsor of terror, suddenly becomes an ally of convenience, a secular bulwark against the expansion of Islamic fundamentalism coming out of Iran, and Saddam Hussein, a state sponsor of terror, now becomes a critical ally of the United States.

So critical, in fact, that we turned a blind eye to Iraqs policies against the state of Israel. We turned a blind eye against Iraqs oppressive policies at home. We turned a blind eye to Saddam Husseins acquisition of chemical weapons, biological weapons, nuclear weapons, and long-range ballistic missiles. So long as Iraq is in the business of killing Iranians and holding the Iranians in check, Saddams a good guy, so good, in fact, that George Herbert Walker Bush sends a delegation to Iraq in the spring of 1990, led by a Republican Senator named Bob Dole, who embraces Saddam Hussein and calls him a true friend of the American people. A true friend of the American People. This state sponsor of terror in the 1970s now, in March of 1990, is a true friend of the American people.

And most Americans turn on their TV, take a look at the news, read the headlines, and go thats Saddam. Good guy. Two thumbs up for Saddam. Hes a true friend of the American people. Except in August 1990, this true friend of the American people invades Kuwait, and now the President of the United States has to convince the American people that its in the national interest to mobilize 700,000 American troops to go off and fight in a war against this true friend of the American people. Now how does he explain the shift? Is the President going to be honest and talk about the complexities of the relationship? Is he going to talk about the fact that we had a policy of constructive engagement with Saddam, that, yes, we recognized how bad this man was, but we needed him to stand up against the Iranians, and, now that the Iran-Iraq war is over, we need to make sure that Saddam doesnt depart out of the fold, so we constructively engaged with him.

We gave him billions of dollars of agricultural loans that he diverted to acquire chemical and biological weapons, and we knew this but we didnt do anything to stop it, that we knew that he was building weapons that threatened the state of Israel, which was why Israel threatened to attack Iraq, which was why Iraq threatened to burn half the state of Israel? Do we get into the honesty and the complexity of this problem? Is that the kind of relationship we have with our politicians? Of course not. A general ones told me, when youre explaining, youre losing, son. It doesnt matter if youre right. If youre explaining, youre losing.

And to have the President to stand up before the American people and explain why were going to war, hes losing politically. Ill give you a little insight into how politicians really interact with the people of the United States of America. They think were stupid. They think were dumb. They dont think we understand complex issues. And as a result, they treat us like simple little children. Thats why the President got up in October 1990 in an effort to convince the American people that Saddam was no longer a true friend.

He said Saddam Husseins now a personification of evil, one of the most amazing transformations thats taken place in modern history. A man went from being a true friend of the United States in March of 1990 to being the personification of evil in October of 1990. Had the President left it at that, we would not be at war with Iraq today. He took the next step, and he was on a roll, you see.

He was explaining things now to the American people. Saddam Hussein is not just a personification of evil. He is the Middle East equivalent of Adolph Hitler, requiring a Nuremberg-like retribution for the crime of invading Kuwait and occupying Kuwait.

Once the President uses that language, he has eliminated any possibility of a diplomatic solution, because, once you invoke Hitler, you have invoked evil itself, and no American politician can ever talk about negotiating with evil. The policy of regime change against Iraq began in October of 1990 when President George Herbert Walker Bush trapped himself with his own rhetoric.

Now how did he trap himself? Because we, the people of the United States of America, are too stupid to say, excuse me, Mr. President, you used the term Hitler too loosely. Saddam may be a bad guy, but hes not Hitler, and we disagree with your analysis. No, the dumb American people went, yeah, Hitler, evil. Yeah, we accept that. And now we trapped our politicians in congress, you see, because, if the constituents buy into the notion of Adolf Hitler, the congressmen and women cant deviate from this policy. Even if congress said, wait a minute. This is stupid. This is bad policy. We need to go back to the policy of constructive engagement, and, even as bad as that was, its better than this rush to war. Now they cant, you see, because, if a congressman or woman says, hey, I want to have constructive engagement with Iraq, the voters will say, wait a minute. That means you want to have constructive engagement with Hitler, and nobody has constructive engagement with Hitler. Weve got to go to war. Weve got to get rid of this guy, because thats what we talked about, going to war.

Even as the Security Council talked about a war of liberating Kuwait, when George Herbert Walker Bush compares Saddam Hussein with Adolf Hitler, it becomes a war against evil, a struggle of good versus evil of biblical proportions that can only be terminated when George H. W. Bush delivers Saddam Husseins head on a platter. Thats what he wanted. I fought in that war. Yeah, we fought to liberate Kuwait, but we fought to do a heck of a lot more than that. I was part of a targeting team that tried to track down Saddam Hussein, put a bomb on the place where he was, not because we called this assassination. Were far too civilized to assassinate leaders. We simply called it removing critical national command authority targets.

Were cute with terminology. So were going to get rid of a critical national command authority target, but we didnt. Saddam survived the war. We liberated Kuwait, a great success for the international community that said that Saddams invasion of Kuwait could not stand, that, by invading Kuwait, Saddam was acting in flagrant violation of international law, the United Nations charter. Thats why the UN supported the multilateral approach to liberate Kuwait. That was law, after all.

The UN didnt support the unilateral objectives of the Bush administration, getting rid of Saddam Hussein. That was never on the UNs books. Thats why, when the war ended, because it did end with the liberation of Kuwait, and the troops came home, at first, everybody was wildly cheering. We had great victory parades in New York City and Washington, D.C. Vietnam was behind us. The American military had stood up to the test and had passed the test, defeating the worlds forth largest military in a decisive land battle, except the American people maybe werent so dumb after all, because theyre sitting there, scratching their heads, saying, well, Mr. President, you said this is a battle of good versus evil, and you define evil as Saddam Hussein, and troops are home. Were declaring victory, but evil still resides in Baghdad.

Ladies and gentlemen, the President has a problem, not a problem of national security, because Saddam Hussein does not pose a threat to the United States of America, especially after the 1991 Gulf War. No, what Saddam Hussein poses a threat to is the political fortunes of George Herbert Walker Bush. Saddam Husseins survival is a political embarrassment to George Herbert Walker Bush, and George Herbert Walker Bush turns to the CIA and says what do I do? We have to get rid of this character, Saddam. Hes causing me some political problems here at home. The CIA said dont worry, Mr. President. Six months max, and that guys gone. He cant survive the war, the devastation, the economic consequences of sanctions that were imposed in 1990 that are squeezing the country. They said, all we have to do is contain Saddam for six months, and hes out of here, which is one of the reasons the President said that the Iraqi people must take things in their own hands, and the Kurds rose up in the north, and the Shia rose up in the south, we stood by and did nothing while Saddam Hussein turned to surviving remnants of his military on the Kurds and on the Shia and crushed them.

You see, there was a calculation going on. Yeah, we didnt want Saddam Hussein in, and heres the ultimate hypocrisy of regime change. See, regime change means more than just getting rid of a leader. It means getting rid of a system. When we speak of regime change in Iraq, were talking about getting rid of the Baathist party, the system of oppression that has the Sunni minority holding in check through violence and coercion the Kurdish and Shia majorities that exist in Iraq. Thats regime change. We didnt want regime change.

We werent politically threatened by the Baathist, and they didnt pose a national security risk to us. In fact, the Baathist Party was an asset to the national security of the United States because we recognized that Iraq was a nation state that was, in effect, a failed nation state, and, if you took away the glue that was Saddam Hussein and the Baathist party, Iraq would devolve into chaos and anarchy that would have the Shia fighting the Sunnis, the Sunnis fighting the Kurds, the Shia fighting each other, the Sunni fighting each other, the Kurds fighting each other. No, we didnt want regime change. We wanted the Baathists to stay in power. We wanted Sunni domination through military force and a police state.

Our problem wasnt the regime. Our problem was a political problem because of the name Saddam Hussein. Saddam Hussein was equated to Adolf Hitler. The Baath Party was not equated to Nazism, so we could live with the Baath Party. We just couldnt live with Saddam Hussein. We had to get rid of him, get rid of a man, because of political problems for a President. Isnt this already disturbing, that were talking about going to war because some politician has a political problem, that American boys and girls might be called upon to die in a foreign land because of a politicians political problem?

I always thought, when I joined the military, that I took an oath to uphold and defend the Constitution of the United States against enemies, foreign and domestic. It never once crossed my mind that I might have to go out and fight and die in a foreign land because of a Presidents political problem. But thats whats happened. This is what has occurred here. The President has a political problem. He tells the CIA to get rid of Saddam Hussein. The CIA says, well, we could have helped the Kurds. We could have helped the Shia, and they say, no, no, no. We dont want the Kurds or the Shia to win. We want the Baathists to be in power. We just want Saddam gone.

Ah. What we need to do then is to create the conditions in which the Baathist Party turns on Saddam. Theyre already unhappy because the military was defeated in a war. Theyre already unhappy because the economy has been shut down because of economic sanctions. If we can continue to squeeze Saddams regime, somebodys going to apply the 75-cent solution, the cost of 1 9mm bullet in the back of Saddams brain. Thats what we were hoping for. The best way to contain him? Economic sanctions. They were in place as we speak in 1991, but they were linked to the liberation of Kuwait, which has been achieved.

And so now, many people are sitting here going hey, you know, Iraqs sitting on the second largest proven reserves of oil in the world. Wed like to gain access to that oil, because oil means money, and money means that I get to buy a yacht and a vacation in the Bahamas. I like oil, but I cant get to the oil as long as sanctions are in place. Lets lift the sanctions. But, if you lift the sanctions, you break containment, and the CIAs saying, you cant break containment. Weve got to squeeze Saddam for six months. So we need a new justification for economic sanctions.

A justification comes in the form of weapons of mass destruction: chemical weapons, biological weapons, nuclear weapons, long-range ballistic missiles. Saddams got them. Prior to 1991, we knew he had them. We didnt view him as a threat to international peace and security. It was a regional issue. If youre Israeli, you should be concerned. If youre Kuwaiti, you should be concerned. If youre Saudi Arabian, you should be concerned. If youre Iranian, you should be concerned. If youre American, youre yawning because it doesnt matter. It doesnt impact you in a decisive fashion.

But, suddenly, in March and April of 1991, Saddams weapons of mass destruction become a threat to international peace and security of such a great magnitude that the Security Council has to pass a Chapter 7 resolution, the strongest kind of resolution, saying that Iraq must be disarmed of these weapons.

Furthermore, they say that economic sanctions imposed in August of 1990 linked to the liberation of Kuwait will be continued until Iraq is found to be disarmed, so the lifting of sanctions is now contingent upon Iraqs compliance with their obligation to disarm. Now this is important. This is critical not only for what happened historically but what Im going to say about in a little bit regarding Iran. What is the onus behind the sanctions, the onus behind extending the sanctions? Would you say it was more linked to disarmament or regime change, and the answer is regime change.

Disarmament was a vehicle used to facilitate regime change by creating the framework for the continuation of economic sanctions that would contain and squeeze Saddam Hussein. The United States was a drafter of this resolution. The United States voted in favor of this resolution, and the language of the resolution makes it sound as if this is about disarmament. It says Iraq must declare the totality of its weapons holding, turn them over to inspectors for inspection and eventual dispossession, and then, and only then, will economic sanctions be lifted. The United States voted for this resolution in April of 1991.

Immediately, members of congress came up and started whispering to Bush. Hey, boss, what are you doing? What do you mean, what am I doing? I passed a resolution. Yeah, but that resolution holds within it the key for Saddam Hussein to break out of containment. If he cooperates with the inspectors and gives up his weapons, weve got to lift sanctions, and, if we lift sanctions, weve broken containment, and Saddam Hussein comes back into the fold of the international community as the head of Iraq. That means that were letting Hitler survive. And Bush said, dont worry.

In May of 1991, the Secretary of State, James Baker, issues a speech. The speech goes along these lines. Even if Iraq complies with its obligation to disarm, economic sanctions will be maintained until which time Saddam Hussein is removed from power. Do you see the utter hypocrisy of the American position? While we vote for a Security Council resolution to continue economic sanctions based on Iraqs obligation to disarm, and then we turn around a month later and say its irrelevant, were going to keep the sanctions in place forever, even if Iraq disarms, until Saddam Hussein is removed from power.

Do you understand why weapons inspections were never a valid, legitimate process to begin with? It didnt matter what the weapons inspectors wanted. It only mattered what the policymakers wanted. In fact, disarmament becomes the enemy, especially after six months when Saddam Hussein continues to survive. The wildly little crafty dictator didnt just roll over and play dead. He sustained his rule. He expanded his rule. He became more of a viable leader in Iraq. And now Bush is stuck. What do you do? We dont have a plan. The plan was to wait six months, and Saddams gone. So what do you do? So Bush reacts, just keep the sanctions in place, contain, and well come up with a solution here, but nothing dramatic.

Nothing dramatic because Ive got to run for re-election in 1992, so I dont want a new war. I dont want a new war which highlights the fact that I didnt accomplish the mission in the first war. I want to build on the notion that we won a grand victory in the first war. Thats a hard notion to sustain when youve got the Iraqi government at first confronting the inspectors, not cooperating with them, and thereby maintaining the impression that Saddam Hussein is thumbing his nose at the United States.

It didnt matter that the weapons inspectors were actually on the ground doing their job. It didnt matter that the weapons inspectors were actually succeeding in disarming Iraq. It didnt matter that, in June of 1991, after Iraq failed to declare a nuclear weapons program, that weapons inspectors found a convoy of 100 vehicles on the back of which was enrichment equipment related to a nuclear weapons program, forcing the Iraqis to admit they lied, forcing the Iraqis to turn over the totality of their nuclear weapons program. It didnt matter that the weapons inspectors with the fact that the Iraqis had failed to declare almost a hundred missiles, through the perseverance and tenacity of their work, compelled the Iraqis to admit, oops, we lied, heres your missiles. It didnt matter that the weapons inspectors were destroying more chemical agent than people could shake a stick at. No, this was irrelevant, you see, because disarmament was the enemy. If inspectors succeeded, you create a political problem.

This is why, when I went to the CIA in October of 1992 and briefed them on the fact that we had succeeded in accounting for all of Iraqs ballistic missiles, instead of being greeted with high-fives and cheers, I was greeted with stoic silence. You see, because what I was telling them was that their policy of regime change was on the brink of failure, because, if inspectors can succeed in disarming Iraq, the worlds going to talk about lifting the sanctions. This is why the Bush administration did two things in October 1992. The first thing they did was issue a rebuttal to the U.N. inspectors report saying, no, we disagree. We disagree with your finding.

They did an amazing thing, too. And we talk about the American public and how they gain access to information. We gain access to information by watching TV. Let me give you a little insight here. We inspectors just finished doing, in a serious of inspections over the course of several months in 1992 where we went to hundreds of sight sin Iraq, we interviewed hundreds of people, we did forensic investigation, and we came up with a technically based determination that we could account for almost all the missiles. The CIA, in disagreeing with us, and not only were they disagreeing with us, but George Tenet [sic] got on national TV before the United States Senate, and said that the United States governments position is that theres up to 200 missiles missing in Iraq.

Thats mathematically impossible. It couldnt happen. But, if youre an American citizen, you turn on the TV or you open the newspaper and see on the front page of the New York Times, it wasnt George Tenet at that time, the CIA director says 200 missiles in Iraq, youre thinking theres 200 missiles in Iraq. Youre thinking that theres a threat there. See, the CIAs job is not to disarm Iraq. Theyd never received that task from the President of the United States. The CIAs job is to get rid of Saddam Hussein, and one key aspect of getting rid of Saddam Hussein was to contain him through the continuation of sanctions.

The continuation of sanctions required that the CIA maintain public perception of a noncompliant Iraq. What I just said should shock you. The CIA knew in 1992 that there were no missiles left in Iraq. The CIA knew in 1992 that there was no nuclear weapons capability in Iraq. The CIA knew in 1995 that all chemical weapons and all biological weapons were accounted for. And, yet, here we are today, and its amazing.

Turn on the television, and listen to the President, and listen to the Democrats. The President will say, we got it wrong on the weapons. We thought they were there, and they werent. Oops. And then the Democrats said, we were misled. The President said that there were weapons there, so we voted for the war, but now it turns out there werent. We went to war on the basis of a lie. We were misled. Dont blame us. Blame everyone, ladies and gentlemen, because Im here to tell you they knew there were no weapons. They knew it. The CIA knew it. The U.S. intelligence community knew it. Congress knew it. The Senate knew it, especially those who sat on the oversight committees and were cognizant of the intelligence information.

They knew that the policy was regime change. They supported the policy of regime change. They were part of the implementation of the policy of regime change and the formulation of the policy of regime change. There was a Republican controlled congress in 1994 that used Bill Clintons inability to deal with Saddam Hussein as a political foil to put pressure on the Clinton administration, thereby making Bill Clinton concerned about his prospect for re-election in 1996, thereby having Bill Clinton order the CIA to up the ante and go after Saddam in a very aggressive fashion which culminated with a coup attempt in June of 1996 which used the UN weapons inspection process not only as a vehicle for the CIA to gather intelligence about Saddam Husseins security but as a trigger for military action.

Dont tell me congress didnt know. They knew. They knew it was never about disarmament. They knew it was always about regime change, and Bill Clintons inability to get rid of Saddam in 1996 empowered congress, Republicans and Democrats alike, to unite in a bipartisan fashion, to pass what is called the Iraq Liberation Act, which set aside $100,000,000 of U.S. taxpayers money to fund Iraqi opposition groups to overthrow Saddam Hussein. Regime change not only became U.S. policy. It became U.S. law, public law, and congress pretends they didnt know what was going on. How absurd is that?

We have a guy touring Washington, D.C., a guy named Ahmad Chalabi, and everyone likes to boo and hiss about Ahmad Chalabi and say that hes the man that sold the bad information to the Bush administration. Well, you know what? Ahmad Chalabi is a creation of the Clinton administration. Bill Clinton created Ahmad Chalabi. Bill Clintons CIA funded Ahmad Chalabi. Bill Clinton is the first administration to swallow Ahmad Chalabis poison, but, you know, it wasnt Ahmad Chalabis poison. It was our poison.

We created Ahmad Chalabi, created the poison that we would swallow, to sustain the notion of a noncompliant Iraq. A lot of people talk about the interim Iraqi government. You know, theres that guy Iyad Allawi who used to be the Prime Minister of Iraq, but, before he embarked on a career of Iraqi politics, he was a paid agent of the CIA. Hes the guy behind the 1996 coup attempt, a product of Bill Clinton, briefed to the United States congress. They knew what the facts were. Bill Clinton gets on TV in December 1998 to sell the American people on a program of action called Operation Desert Fox, a three-day bombing campaign ostensibly against targets of weapons of mass destruction. Read Bill Clintons speech. Its available on the Internet. Read it. Compare and contrast it to what George W. Bush said.

There is no change. There is no difference. Its the same speech. Iraq has weapons of mass destruction. The United States has no choice but to act and bomb Iraq. The only difference was Bill Clinton wasnt sending in troops to invade. He was bombing, but it was the same story, the same lies, and Bill Clinton knew they were lies. In April of 1998, Bill Clinton appeared before the United States congress to explain why inspectors might believe that the United States wasnt supporting the inspection process, and Bill Clinton was aghast. He said, no, no. Its the policy of the United States of America to give the inspectors all of the support they need. Were behind the disarmament of Iraq 100%.

He came back from congress, turned to Madeleine Albright, his Secretary of State, and Sandy Berger, his National Security Advisor, and ordered them to have a secret meeting to redraft American policy not to support the inspectors but to undermine the inspectors, to disengage the United States away from the inspectors because the inspectors were causing Bill Clinton a huge problem. We were disarming Iraq. We were succeeding, and the United States could never allow the inspectors to succeed, so the United States put the break on the inspectors, started undermining the inspectors even more than they did, and, in December, 1998, popular mythology may hold Saddam Hussein kicked the weapons inspectors out of Iraq, but this is wrong, ladies and gentlemen. They were ordered out by Bill Clinton.

He ordered them out and then said that Iraq is not cooperating with the inspectors, and thats why we need to bomb. The purpose of the bombing wasnt to get rid of weapons of mass destruction because there were none and they knew it. The purpose of the bombing was two-fold. To target Saddam Hussein using intelligence information gathered by weapons inspectors. The first four cruise missiles that went into Iraq tried to knock out Saddam Hussein because U.N. intelligence said he might be sleeping either in Baghdad or in Tekrit. Of the 120 targets hit, 111 dealt with the security of Saddam Hussein.

The others hit factories that we knew not to have any relation to weapons of mass destruction. Now they didnt get Saddam, but what they did do is kill inspections because, when the Iraqis woke up after three days and walked through all the targets that were bombed, they realized that these targets were the exact same places inspected by United Nations weapons inspectors. They realized that the only way the United States could have received precise coordinates of where to strike was through the intelligence gathered by UN weapons inspectors.

The Iraqis said the inspectors are not welcome back in, which is a victory for the United States because, without weapons inspectors, we cant disarm Iraq. If you cant disarm Iraq, economic sanctions will not be lifted, and theyll continue. Now a lot of people like to talk about weapons inspections and disarmament of Iraq as if its a big victory for us. We weapons inspectors did a good thing, but let me educate you on a couple of things.

Weapons inspections do not exist in isolation. They didnt just happen. They were an outgrowth of a war. United Nations weapons inspections were extensions of the war. We cannot treat them as separate events. UN weapons inspectors may not have had guns, but we actually inflicted more harm on Iraq than military weapons did because we were responsible for the continuation of economic sanctions, economic sanctions that devastated Iraq for a decade, economic sanctions that killed between 700,000 and 2.5 million Iraqi civilians, and yet we sit here and talk about disarmament and weapons inspections as if its something neat. Disarmament only works if you can isolate it from war.

Disarmament is a proactive measure in its own right, but disarmament is simply an extension of the war and war objectives using disarmament as a cover. Its not disarmament. Dont be fooled. Dont be fooled. UN weapons inspections in Iraq were not about getting rid of weapons of mass destruction. They were about getting rid of Saddam Hussein. They were about continuing economic sanctions to destabilize Saddam Hussein. Why is this important?

Well, its important, first of all, because were talking about our politicians today, our brave politicians who are taking advantage of George W. Bushs low popularity ratings to suddenly come out of the woodwork like rats on a sinking ship and declare how theyre against the war, but theyre not really against the war, because talk to them in depth. Theyre against whats happening now. Theyre against the quagmire we face today. Theyre against the fact that the Bush administration did not plan adequately for a post-Saddam environment. Theyre not against the war. Theyre political opportunists.

To be against this war, you have to say that we shouldnt be in Iraq to begin with. To be against this war, you must say that Iraq was better off with Saddam Hussein in power than it was with Saddam Hussein out of power. To be against this war, you must recognize that the congressional vote for war in 2002 was a complete abrogation of Constitutional responsibility. Thats being against this war, and there isnt a politician out there today that is against this war using that terminology, or very few politicians, none that aspire to national political leadership. No, all the great politicians out there who say I want to run for President are saying its good to have gone to war to get rid of Saddam Hussein. They say its just that weve done badly in the post-war phase. No, ladies and gentlemen, you cant be half against this war. You have to be all against this war, and, sadly, theres far too few politicians who are all against this war.

It is this type of political half-stepping that creates a quandary not only for Iraq but for Iran. You see, a lot of people, when I started talking, in 2001 and 2002, I traveled around the country and talked about the impending war with Iraq. And everyone went, well, there isnt going to be a war with Iraq. Thats insane. The Presidents embarked on diplomacy. Theres going to be a diplomatic solution. Theyre going to give inspectors a chance. There will not be a war. I kept saying no, war has been decided upon because it is the policy decided upon to remove Saddam Hussein from power. No one wanted to recognize that policy.

Then the war came. Then today theres a growing recognition that we were misled into this war. But now Im mentioning the war with Iran thats already occurring, and everybody goes no, theres no war with Iran. Dont be crazy. We cant go to war with Iran. We dont have enough troops. Were bogged down in Iraq. No one would be crazy enough to go to war with Iran.

The same man that got us involved in this war in Iraq (I should say men, Clinton and Bush), got us involved with a future war with Iran. The die has already been cast. The decision has been made, and, as much as Bill Clinton facilitated war with Iraq, he facilitated war with Iran by embarking on a policy of dual containment in the 1990s, putting unilateral U.S. economic sanctions against Iran, creating the politics of demonization where the American public on a daily basis has been bombarded with nothing but negative visuals, negative information about Iran, nothing positive.

According to the U.S. media, Iran is populated by 50 million anti-American whirling dervishes who want nothing more than to come out of the country and cut off our heads. We dont recognize the cultural diversity of Iran. We dont recognize the fact that Iran is populated by human beings that care about life just as much as we do. We dont recognize that the Iranian mothers want a good future for their children just as much as the American mothers want a good future for their children. We dont recognize that Iranian men just want to have a job, a job that pays the bills, so that they can go home and maybe have a nice weekend with their family. Thats the reality of Iran, but we dont have that. You see, were told that Iran is a threat.

Were told that the mad mullahs in Iran must be done away with in the same way that the mad dictator in Baghdad was done away with. The policy of regime change is in place today. This is why, when the Bush administration speaks of regional transformation, its not just hypothetical. They mean it, and, just like the Downing Street Memo, that British document that refers to meetings that took place in July, 2002, says that the United States had a policy of regime change already in place that was not going to be changed and they were fixing intelligence around the policy, Im here to tell you today that we have a policy of regime change in place about Iran, and we are fixing the intelligence around the policy.

We have a congress that is unwilling to stand up and talk about the reality of Iran. And listen to Hillary Clinton when she asks ridiculous questions, when she has testimony about the Iranian threat. She doesnt have probing questions. She sits there and reinforces the negativity. She sits there and reinforces the notion of an Iranian threat, and the danger with that is that the compliant beast we call the American public, these sheep that allow themselves to be led to and fro, are listening to what she says.

Thats why I could be a pollster and ask the following question. Do you think America should go to war with Iran? And most Americans say no, its stupid, were already bogged down in Iraq, why should we go to war with Iran? Put those polling numbers up, and everybody will see, 'theres not going to be a war with Iran, Scott. What are you worried about? Let me get a little more tricky with you here. Do you think the Iranian government poses a threat to the United States of America? 78% of the American public says yes. How does the Iranian government pose a threat? Do they pose a threat in terms of weapons of mass destruction and nuclear weapons? The same numbers, 78%, yes, Iran poses a threat in the form of nuclear weapons. Now comes the cute part: how should we deal with this threat? Oh, were not going to that war thing because it sort of went bad in Iraq.' What do you want to support? 'Ah, economic sanctions imposed by the United Nations.'

84% of Americans believe that we should impose sanctions against Iran through the United Nations as a manner to deal with the Iranian nuclear weapons threat that supposedly threatens the security of the United States. Thats why were going to war because we have bought into the notion that Iran is a threat without question, without thinking. We just parrot back whats told to us by our elected officials. We bought into the notion that Iran is a threat in the form of nuclear weapons, even though no evidence has been put forward by anybody to sustain this notion. In fact, all of the intelligence information points to the reality that there is no nuclear weapons program in Iran.

Every case made by the Bush administration has fallen apart on investigation of guess what, the eternal threat to peace and security. United Nations weapons inspectors who had the audacity to go to Iran and investigate baseless allegations and expose them as baseless allegations.

Well we "know" they have nuclear weapons. And, now that weve said theres a threat, we say that the only way to deal with this threat is to impose economic sanctions, but you know what? They have to be imposed by the United Nations Security Council. The United Nations Security Council has members such as Russia, France, and China, not so much France right now on the issue of Iran but Russia and China, who have said we will not allow economic sanctions to be imposed because we have seen what youve done with the Iraqi model, that this isnt about getting rid of a nuclear threat.

This is about regime change, and were not going to let this occur. But the United States is pushing hard to have the issue brought to the Security Council knowing full well that Russia and China will veto it. What does this mean, ladies? It means that, when Russia and China veto it, as we know they will, the President has no choice. His hands are tied. He didnt want to go to war, but he has no choice, you see, because Iran is a threat, a nuclear threat, and the United Nations will not do anything about this threat, and no President is going to stand by and let a threat exist. No President is going to allow the national security of the United States of America to be held hostage by the United Nations, and, as distasteful as war is, the President has no choice but to engage in a war with Iran. Thats why were going to war, because the President wants it.

The American people have been preconditioned to accept the terms of conflict, and the vehicle for facilitating this is in place: John Bolton, the United Nations ambassador, has already written his speech that he will deliver before the Security Council when they refuse to impose economic sanctions. That speech will be that America will not allow itself to be held hostage by the United Nations.

Then the President will order bombing, and this is where it gets really interesting, because one of the true things about the Iranian threat is we do not have enough troops to invade and occupy Iran. You see, the Bush administration is amazing. They dont believe in reality. They say this themselves. They say that America has overwhelming economic, diplomatic, and political strength that we can bring to bear on any given situation and create our own reality, that the old rules of diplomacy no longer apply, that we have such overwhelming force that we can shape events so that a new reality is created. Now they sort of had a hick-up, a bad one in Iraq where they thought the new reality would be greeting us with songs and flowers.

They were a little wrong on that one, but theyve modified their formulation apparently because they believe that, if we bomb Iran with a massive aerial bombardment, then the Iranian people will rise up and remove the Mullahs from power, even though history shows that its not very likely that a nation thats bombed is going to rise up and support those who are bombing them. But, if that fails, the military has been told to be prepared to send troops from Azerbaijan, along the Caspian Sea coast, to the outskirts of Tehran where it would project a force of 40-60,000. The Iranian people would be motivated by our presence and rise up and overthrow the mad Mullahs of Tehran. Well even put another 20-30,000 Marines on the coast where we can control the Straits of Hormuz, preventing the Iranians from shutting down that. .. oil shipping lane. What happens when that doesnt work?

And it doesnt take a mathematical whiz to figure that its not going to work. Iran is a nation about 2.5 times the size of Iraq. Iran has a population of almost 50 million people, and were talking about putting 60-80,000 troops on the ground. We cant control a nation of 25 million people with 161,000 troops. What makes us think were going to control 50 million with 80,000? Its not going to happen.

Now is where it gets really frightening, because the Bush administration, if they go down this course of action, will have no choice at that point in time but to use nuclear weapons, and they have already developed the weapons they call them usable nukes. Its funny that term, usable. This is not about mutually assured destruction anymore. This is not about deterrence. The Bush administration has radically departed from past doctrine to say that we will have a family of nuclear weapons that are usable nuclear weapons, meaning that we can conceive of using them, and then theyll say we could use them preemptively in a non-nuclear environment, meaning that its not about opposing somebody with nuclear weapons or biological weapons or chemical weapons, its we can use them any time we want to if its in the strategic national interest of the United States.

This war has a good chance of beginning in 2007. What are you going to do, peace movement? What are you going to do? Sit back and go, oh my God, this is too much to think about. Im going to hit the delete button and pretend that Ritter can't be right. Or do what others do? Na, hes a crazy wild man. Na, Im not buying into that garbage. Were just going to move on thinking that Iraqs bad and theyll never going on into Iran.

Study the facts Ive just put on the table. You will not contradict a single one of them. You cannot contradict a single one of them because they are facts. Im not making it up. Its all based on written and spoken statements made by Bush administration officials, past and present.

What are you going to do? Wait for congress to do the right thing? Congress has already sold out. Congress isnt going to oppose this President. Congress has already bought into the notion of the Iranian threat. What are you going to do? One thing you can do is change congress, and you have a window of opportunity. The 2006 election may well go down in history as one of the most critical elections that this country has ever faced, because, if Im right, and I pray Im not, I pray Im wrong, I pray Im on drugs, I pray Im having some hallucinations, I pray that none of this is true. What if Im right and we dont change congress in 2006?

We will unleash forces that will devastate this country, not just economically, not just politically, not just militarily, not just morally. Physically, because, if we drop nuclear weapons on Iran, we will have uncorked the genie, and that genie will not allow itself to be recorked until an American city has been vaporized in a radioactive cloud in a terrorist counterstrike to the American initiation of nuclear holocaust, and that is the statement of fact.

Right now, when people talk about terrorism and nuclear weapons, Im not too worried about it because I still think that we have to be concerned about it, but theres enough sanity that prevails in the world today where leaders such as Musharraf in Pakistan and others will not transfer this technology to the terrorists out of fear of the devastation that will be caused. If the United States drops nuclear weapons, all bets are off.

The Muslim world will not rest until the Americans pay a price similar to the one thats been inflicted on them. What can you do? Find a candidate worth supporting, and put all of your resources into supporting that candidate and getting that candidate in position, reaching out across the nation to other states and say we need to get effective checks and balances in place in Washington, D.C. right now to hold this administration in place, in check.

History shows us that, when an administration starts floundering in the way that George W. Bush has, that they take on a fortress-like mentality. Witness Richard Nixon in the aftermath of Watergate. Things are going to get worse for George W. Bush before they get better, if they ever get better. More allegations of misconduct, more allegation of lies, deceit, distortion are going to be put forward, and we already see how this President reacts, not with an embrace thats inclusive but to reject and be derisive and to go on a counter-attack.

The President, unable to generate any friction in terms of getting his policies implemented here at home because congress is starting to rise up and revolt, will look for distractions overseas in the same way that Richard Nixon looked to create a nuclear confrontation with the Soviet Union and the Middle East.

Its very dangerous times very dangerous times, and, therefore, its incumbent upon us to recognize that we cannot wait for someone to give us the solution. We must re-read the Constitution and take strength from the words in the preamble that speak of we the people of the United States of America.

The only way were going to get a solution to this dual deception thats taken place today in Iraq and Iran is for we, the people of the United States of America, to re-empower ourselves as citizens, to break free of this cocoon of comfort, this consumerism we trapped ourselves into so that we are addicted to a lifestyle that can only be sustained by elected representatives who will carry out aggressive policies.

We got to elect good people, and thats the thing. Weve got to elect. No one else is going to elect them. Weve got to nominate them. No one is going to nominate them. Weve got to support and sustain them because no one else is going to do that.

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